Using survival analysis to understand the graduation rate in the University of Baguio

Dr. Kareen B. Leon1 , Dr. Froilan C. Aspa2 and Maria Veneranda Z. Campos3
1 Dean,School of Business Administration and Accountancy
University of Baguio, Baguio City, Philippines
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3818-3119
Email: ubshaa2016@gmail.com
2 Director, Admission & Records Center
University of Baguio, Baguio City, Philippines
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1894-7740
3 Faculty, School of Business Administration and Accountancy
University of Baguio, Baguio City, Philippines

Abstract

This study was undertaken to help address the University of Baguio’s concern about graduation rate, which is also a worldwide apprehension: The number of students who enrolled is not the same as the number of students who graduate within the given period of the school. The research used the descriptive correlational research design with the degree and direction of the relationship between graduation time and first-year, first-semester General Weighted Average, and academic program enrolled. The study also utilized the ex-post facto research design. Data were mined from the University of Baguio database through the Registrar’s Office with the Vice President of Academic Affairs’ authorization. Data gathered include only pupils/students who enrolled as a first-year in the school year 2011-2012 and who finished at least one year (for elementary and high school students) or one semester (for college and graduate school students). It was found out that students enrolled in different programs, namely elementary, secondary, tertiary, are more likely to graduate from their chosen course. Second, the graduating probability for the tertiary level has its peak at the end of the 12th semester or six years. Third, only the School of Dentistry has a more than fifty percent graduating rate from its first-course enrollees. Fourth, more than fifty percent of tertiary students who graduated from their first-choice program have a General Weighted Average level, which is excellent, very good, or good. Lastly, the earliest year that a student successfully finished the master’s and doctorate is in the fifth and seventh semester, respectively.

Keywords: Graduation rate, elementary, high school, tertiary, graduate school, general weighted average, academic program